Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lionesque | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dominant Destroyer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Settebello | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Zeppelin | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Primordial Fear | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Fishman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win the Draw | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Slye | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Band Coming | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theboyfromgormley | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wickedblackbullet | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carlin Clan | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Ghost | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lieutenant Stan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncaptured Moment | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hank Ollie | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Venti | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Charlie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imposter Syndrome | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twowaycrossing | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sing Dixie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crumlin Lad | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ontario Damsel S.) – Ontario Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Ship | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Hoity Toity | 0.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Seagull | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love to Run | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Brew | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Giant | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dragon’s Brew | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Dazzle | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanbrugh | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Combative | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Downy Boy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decimator | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Desolator | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Magician | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Epilogue | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tycoon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyfour Expos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Flatter | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puddingontheritz | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Train | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sixth Anniversary | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strokes (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Gelato | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Bourbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Old Chestnut | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maakwa | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Niagara Skyline | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Turn | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Seamus | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Silencer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Embolden | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Al Heybay | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Great Oz | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Joe | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lord of War | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Town Cruise | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spite Store | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clayton | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Ace | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Told It All | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forester’s Fortune | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Dormy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Curlin | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cash Dividend | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ready for a Fight | 5.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Watson | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Decorated Invader | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Like the King | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soup and Sandwich | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day Tripper | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Entry to Heaven | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Alone | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Thread of Blue | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Grinding | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Henley’s Joy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocket Joe Copper | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Concealed Carry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ontario Derby) – Ontario Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Minkster | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ironstone | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mannix (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bringer of Rain | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luckman | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Gamble | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop a Caribou | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Spider | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Giant | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Warden | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tara Tattoo | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supremeaction | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Incendio | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Resilient | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Brown Brewskii | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dawson Silver | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cool Laoban | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.