Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Papaws Boy 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Conative 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Underdog 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Flashburn 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lemon Kick 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Party of Fifteen 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Falcon Heavy 4.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Waypoint 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Taken Back 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Freightrainfreeman 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sournois 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr Elvin 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Easy Runner 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Big Ace 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 George Allen 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Wicked Rose 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Monarch’s Mischief 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Holiday Diamond 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Autumns Strong Man 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Lucky Moon Dog 15.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Lower Cretaceous 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jamaican Me 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Basti Blue 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Trader Price 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Louisiana Flash 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lucas Zip It 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Iron N Steel 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Silver Chalice 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Now Now Saint 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Styling Hook 10.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Flash of Rain 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Anime Day 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Federal Court 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Camcordia 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 True Red Slew 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Marilyn’s Magic 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 My Little Guera 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Aunt Jana 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 I Love You More 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 T J’s Sunshine 15.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Thursday Morning 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Woo Hoo 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Taylors Babe 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jersey Hottie 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mishpachah 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Meet Me 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ms. Cajun Queen 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mo Bling 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Custom for Tina 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Why Wait 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Eagleoverthemoon 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Gypsyroselee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Boy Gus 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Rubiginous 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bold Minister 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King Marvin 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Quana Dude 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Friendofthecourt 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 B W P Special 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Rather Precocious 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Justa Swinging 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sweet Rachel 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Prairie Squall 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Gone With the Finn 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Laughingsaintssong 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 O’L Red 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 King Deuce 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Yes Bab 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Warriors Gem 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Wonder Run 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Fazio 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Eden Grey’s Kitten 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sarcastic Tone 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Park 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tapage 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Catholic Guilt 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Military Bearing 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Scarlettsblackjack 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hesacalendarboy 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Plutonium 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 5 Curlin Edges 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Acabella 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Ted Striker 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Soulology 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Smarty Ridge 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Fighting Soldier 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Forever Peace 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.