Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Passionfortreasure 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Neversaynoletsgo 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Undecoded 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Teller to Sing 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Tami Ann 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 My Good Fortune 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon Magic Chrissy 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Star Pose 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Bonanza Grade 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Marsanne 15.00 4 7-1
10 10 Connelmaura 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lily’s Creed 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Rye Munny 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Beer Can Lady 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Mean Sue 10.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Tamara’s Way 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Storm Haven 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Argumental 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Little Sister Sue 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Awesome Ally Vee 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Penitent’s Rose 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Adaline Julia 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Colonel Grace 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Itdowhatitdo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Overtaxed 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Double Thunder 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Boise 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Cathedral Beach 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Totalizer 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Uptown Hustler 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Gormleys Got Game 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Geaux Yoshka 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kunshan Bridge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Catnip 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mount Rundle 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Win Worthy 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Setna the Wise 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Epimythium 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Bakwena 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Running Bee 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Warbird 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Policy Option 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Box Office Warrior 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Rogue Element 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ride the Plan 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Magic Quest 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Coppelia 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Zainalarab 2.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bombdiggity 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Headland 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Awesomely Shy 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Compelling Smile 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Al’s Rocket 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Brazillionaire 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Verstappen 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Forwardly 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 No Slo Mo 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Wake Surf 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Roughin the City 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Chrome Republic 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Kitten Mischief 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Jarreau 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bright Prospecter 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hippodrome 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Master Game 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Norgay 6.00 3 6-1
11 11 Apollo Rising 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lucky Dude 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Strings 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rough Sketch 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Hurry On Out 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Alfio 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Dormir 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Point of an Affair 5.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 J Boone 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.