Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Influentialous | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Tribal Queen | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Influentialous | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quarrel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Caraggio (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lexi’s Spirit | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Embrace Me | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geyser Road | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romance Pelusa | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indyan Penny | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Every Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Poet’s Woods | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Iguazu (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Spirit (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Positive Message (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scilly Cay | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Even Thunder | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical America | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Deputy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ready to March | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brunate | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bingo John | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Umbria | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Larry | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Boy Cheekum | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Joe | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Self Isolation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Customerexperience | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Cold in Dehere | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap the Faith | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far Away Love (ARG) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cash Now | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dominate Themoment | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Sphinx | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It Can Be Done | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Harry | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ballydooley (GB) | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Atlantique | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Original | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Advanced Strategy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Analyze It | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Soulmate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ever Dangerous | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kinetic Sky | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | D’ont Lose Cruz | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lifetime of Chance | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mariachi | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bingood to Knowya | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Chuckles | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Playingwithmatches | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inspector | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max Foster | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leftembehind | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Screen Door | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turn of Events | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Emotion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kobe Tough | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Scents | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thin White Duke | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Factor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fauci | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Station | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Runningwscissors | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxwell Esquire | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Stage Left | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gongheifatchoy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flamingo Hawk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ranger Fox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Senbei | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Runninsonofagun | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chaysenbryn | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Racing Colors | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Know It All Audrey | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Supream | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raffinity | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Nervous Now | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Banker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spooky Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Provision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wynn Giant | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Aula | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Royal Fox Hills | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tony O | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Barry the Builder | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 15 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Thethrillofvictory | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 16 | Mighty Atlas | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3X | 14 | Brad’s Bet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 12 | Editor’s Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Mr. Marlin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Widmark | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | King of Comedy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Itsallcomintogetha | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 11 | Mama Banned Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.