Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 27, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Fire of Gold 20.00 1 2-1
2 1 Classy and Fast 5.00 1 2-1
7 6 Lucky Every Day 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Salaciousacusation 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Point of Victory 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Princess Trina 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Leighton Kentucky 15.00 5.5 10-1
1A 11 Enduring Peace 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 8 Goodnight Gracie 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Sarahs Home 20.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Texas Mama 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sandy’s Wager 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Come What Mae 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Katie’s C 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Devastating Beauty 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 St Maria 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Overly Sweet 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Boston Lucille 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Glory to Me 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Time to Sleep 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cute Dinero Queen 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Honeysuckledelight 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 My Little Mia 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Talents Hot Deal 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Psalm Prayer 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bailey’s Charm 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Shewasn’teasy 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Cherry Star 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Gypsy Jackpot 6.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Lovelyredstilettos 6.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 A. P. Style 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Little E 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silver N Lai 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tough Company 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Gobler 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Corvette Spirit 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 U Complete Me 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Honor My Speed 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 King Ford 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Tensas Toddy 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Humphrey 6.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 That’s D ‘cat 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Southpine Gift 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Strong Rules 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 T D Z Hi Court 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Russss 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Genes Feather 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Landry and Lucas 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Willie the Man 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Double Trap 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Arkansas Zong 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Honorablestatement 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 G E H Giants Way 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Custom Dancer 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Eurobeliever 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Suffragette 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unherdof 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Merlin’s Sister 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Kellys the Boss 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 American Reality 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 J Z’s First 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dixie Loving 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Summerjustbet Her 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Firstslate 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Knights Sword 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Action Potential 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Starbuck Luck 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tiddly 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hot Tub Hottie 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Like Mike 6.00 1 2-1
8 9 Unanimously 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 Forestdungone 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 3 Binding 2.50 3.4 6-1
1A 5 Pinch Assault 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 8 Cypriano 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Meditate 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 6 Guitar Slim 8.00 7.7 15-1
6 7 Bayou Jam 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Far Beyond 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ide Like Hawaii 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 War Reporter 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Moro Flyboy 2.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lucky Big Daddy 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Shot On Windy Hill 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Moro Cool 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.