Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Chaos | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Words of Wisdom | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Builder | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Captain | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Boss | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Defiance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Design | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camp David | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmichael | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Impact | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Endless Sunset | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Hush This | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Attempt | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | California Street | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Daddy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Behavior | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spankhurst | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Adventure | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derby Code | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Trouble | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Oak | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’tbetemall | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leader of Men | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Pass | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gigging | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Get On the Bus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Sixtyone | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aaliyah Ezri | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gal Wonder (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fantail (GB) | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mint Edition | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under One Sky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Let’s Duet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Implosion | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Nell | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaton Rouge | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thrombocytopenia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bravo Kitten | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rarify | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Toast | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Som | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Lily | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catcha Later Mo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adalinda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Classic Farewell | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Chablis | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A. P. Lady | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watch This Birdie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Happy Boy Rocket | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implementation | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centurion | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep State | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Rags | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Civics Class | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Norther | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unleash the Power | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calrissian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pearl Earring | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Best | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thisnameisokay | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle Est Forte | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insatiable | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silky Warrior (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Princess | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Story | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loved Reiko | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ms Merrabel | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wilmore | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Clear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Roc’s Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Balsa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salta | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Premium | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mataro | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ironsides | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt Above | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santino’s Fantasy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life and Light | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Cruise | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talk to Tokey | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.