Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cerulean | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renaissance (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Looks Don’t Lie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Lawson | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imnotonetocomplain | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cast No Stones | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torre Branca | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chicago River | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Water Witch | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Americas Woman | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Yira | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sidney Sue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sea Monster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Music Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Moon Party | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bali Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saint Marco | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Not Slow | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give It a Go | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncommon Valor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Bitz | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scintillio | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Asta | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manklin Creek | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Safeen | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Story | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ride the Rapids | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zipadoo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Inscrutable | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Donna | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Modern Society | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Waverley | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Kitten | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concert Hall | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Penny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortes | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Affair | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magicgirl | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torch Carrier | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Had the Notion | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R True Sensation | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Murph | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Center Stage | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dotada | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amunet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nibbles | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miranda’s Desmond | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eiswein | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chelichna | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toss a Coin | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Closertotheheart | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blueberry Pie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Little Nutter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Killy Start | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strong Embrace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | A Case of You | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Amazon Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Senson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Mike Jim | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scamper Along | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dial Emma Reilly | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Some Is Nine | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salamina | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mejoramiga | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | If Then | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Culdee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot and Blue | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byrdie Howe | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Lookout | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late Night Lady | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damanda | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agraffe | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Partyline | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glowing Review | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Mamba | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valenzan Day | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noah Chance | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roan Burgundy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Post Time | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Completed Storm | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Likely Choice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moon of Love (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Audrey | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Familia | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Dressing | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Babe | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shyla Girl | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imagine Victory | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Dame | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Claude | 3.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Is Zippy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Secret Archangel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Oil On Canvas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Differentbutok | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tak E Lady | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Red Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.