Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Cajun | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Four O Six Creed | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brite Outlook | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay Be Gone | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Romeo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Spirit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hookem Tx Bling | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strictly Confident | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gluckstadt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motown Missile | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Redefinition | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jamie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Page | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Penny | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Hart | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Emma | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jackies Irishdream | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sweet Sophia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cabro Toro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Perfecta | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run On Aces | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Your Daddy Son | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Holiday | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Dane | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oak Hill Mo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Costanarmandaleg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beaux Tox | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who Dat Grey | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Enough Bling | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold as You | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light as a Whisper | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Venus Island | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beautifulandwild | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Izzy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Better Watch Out | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Dreams of Valor | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Wilson to Lockett | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Gracida | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Sournois | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Adios Yankee | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tune My Guitar | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chief Kimosabi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runninginthemoney | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its Wild Again | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papiringo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmie’s Halo | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peanut N Ike | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theo d’Or | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Janet’s Devil | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | J C’s in Town | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Andiamo Giacomo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Bird | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Results | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodee Bodee | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheatin Charlie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Herewecometogetyou | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Vision | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild Mallory | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Green Monster | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flew by You | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seriously Sassy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Quinn | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Smiles | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saber Queen | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Summertime Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Harriet’s Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Expectation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Vickie | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field of Lights | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. P. Style | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atlantic Band | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Retro Rita | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Annie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | With Grace | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovers Never Say | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Grad | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ashley’s Girl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seemyvalentine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.