Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 28, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baldoro 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 The Key Is Unity 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 Birth of Cool 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Batukhan (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Midnight Majesty 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Attenzione 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Big Brother 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Butkus 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Shady Empire 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sonic Brees 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Party Town 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Catbernay 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Hidetheloot 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wrong Turn Cupid 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kitten’s Kid 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 R Girl’s Werth It 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Spanish Channel 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Back On the Street 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Unwritten Code 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Galarina 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Eyes for Gold 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 She Loves Karaoke 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Drizella 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Deise Delight (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tecumseh Caroline 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 A Little Bit Crazy 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Doris Mae 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Adam’s Creed 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mark for Later 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Oat Milk Latte 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Oncoming 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 If Id Told You 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Barnfield 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Halfbarberbingie 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Hoop Dream 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bravestone 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Arrest 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Hoodlum 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Tofino Bay 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Fifty Cent Dollars 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Never Seen Before (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It’s Saul Right 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokin Amelia 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Smiling Princess 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 The Reign Song 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Funkhouser 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Smokem for You 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bizzy Gal 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Silver Lightening 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Molotov 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 D’s Lovely Sophia 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Ensleys Dream 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 The Great Haynes 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Queen of Pompeii 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Exactly Wendy 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lilly Babe 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 True Patriot 6.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Big Beauty 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Sunshine Babe 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 La Deuxieme Etoile 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Essential Business 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mongolian Ford 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Granada Flavor 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Economical 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Socal Red 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 State of the Union 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Sippin N Kissin 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Maynard 3.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Guest Check 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Annaghlasa (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Glenall (IRE) 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Emerald Lake 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Buzz of New York (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Agreetodisagree 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Barrister’s Ride 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Gillian Elizabeth 3.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Fortunata Tensio 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Speed Lane 10.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Lady Jae 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dendera 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shared Future 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.