Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hayroll | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Shandee | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twice as Smart | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taradar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unilateral | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic Mission | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lament | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Uh Oh It’s Magic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Born Happy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chairman Fox | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncompromising | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Flare | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scenic Holiday | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breach of Trust | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Pele | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Live by Faith | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Friend | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ngabe | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orbaline | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Girl | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Miah | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Time | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Days in May | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Society | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onezy’s Dream | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pluie d’Avril | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rockstar Ro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Classy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Four Aces High | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jibaro | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frosted Icing | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Galvaston | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Pond | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Crime | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Small Talk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Keyser | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Dave | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Speed | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sensing Holiday | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | DeSantis | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Taste My Candy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gungi | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stubborn Streak | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Fella | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Appeal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heezespeedy | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ryder Ryder Ryder | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackdiamond Dinny | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kantbackoff | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meritamen | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cantho | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Krista | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Album | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | British Crown | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Key Stroke | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Attabe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Splurge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meyer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wentru | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prideofdistinction | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Pharoah | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remote | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reliability | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Take Charge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Extreme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Dude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lac Macaza | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Time Louie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Soul | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corduroy Road | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over the Hills | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pound Green | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ben Lomond | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robusto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pugin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mesa Skyline | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ready Hero | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Bolt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.