Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Voodoo Mistress 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Champleve 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gracie Diamond 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Where’s the Pumps 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lady Dreamer 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 She’smysmokeshow 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Eternal Light 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Visual Moon 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Invincibility 5.00 1 2-1
1 3 Lookin Good So Far 1.80 1.3 3-1
7 8 Papa Bro 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 7 Nosbor 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Fluffpoint 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Diablo Cat 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 6 Hot Artie 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Midnight Spirit 15.00 4.9 9-1
1A 5 Clear Humor 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Habanero Tom 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Boy Eastwood 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Mr. Butch Womble 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 I See Clearly Now 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Clearly a Jet 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Beaudean 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Luca 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Carlos’s Mama 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Astrologysprotege 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Half Crazy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Boston Repo 5.00 1 2-1
2 8 Farewell Time 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 1 I’m a Special Star 5.00 4.4 8-1
1A 9 Lion Heart Legend 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Bunkie’s Song 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 4 Sr. Clarky 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 3 G Don’t Know 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 10 Donna’s Court 15.00 6.7 13-1
2B 11 I’ll Raise You 3.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Mr. Priority 8.00 SCRATCH
1 7 Cajun Berti 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dealmeinbud 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Speedy G 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Wedington 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 The Thimble 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Heliochrome 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 My Little Junior 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Oscar Choice 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Spheroid 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Thirtyeightcaliber 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Paynt Battle 15.00 7 13-1
11 11 Texas Gold Rush 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Vegas Guy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boston Belle 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mila’s Kat 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Awesome Arch 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Tricky Mom 15.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Sugar Star 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Custom Guitar 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Satisfy U 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Apriority Magic 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mydealoftheday 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sweet Stormy Elle 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Glads Love Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Judge This Trip 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lots of Gold 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Becca’s Bouquet 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bourn 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rachie Rach 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 D L’s Girl 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Zeatrical 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Prayers Saved 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Gilded Apple 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Bigjim’s Silvergal 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Achancetowin 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Prideofdixiecreed 3.00 1 2-1
2 1 D T’s Dream 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Lagoon 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Gimmeasound 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Mists of Time 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Justin Speight 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 5 Special Pryce 1.80 4 8-1
1A 6 Jr’s Pacifico 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Luck of the Stars 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jays Holiday 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Koofi 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Cole’s Sensation 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Not a Nyki 12.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Wild T Ranger 10.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Kats Pick 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 Sweet Present 4.50 9.3 18-1
1 1 Omg Ur Kidding Me 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.