Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern Dynasty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lolita | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Fiftyseven | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chive Up | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Okie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Abigail | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indy Lover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dede’s Trick | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrappy Patch | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walk Softly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lilly’s Bidness | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Farasino | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Happy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orts Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flexati | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passthecat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suez | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomoremrniceguy | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tango Kilo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Kat | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mister K | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im the Machine | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ace Gilford | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Ticket | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twice the Price | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninja Warrior | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juan Bravo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Westons Wildcat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarterback Dak | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charliecando | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guinessey | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trumpence | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nautical Moon | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brew Crew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hooves Your Daddy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scaryatcanterbury | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magna Punch | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Dinner Jacket | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Terawatt | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weird Year | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Blaze | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Boy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Italian Justice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Point | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rollin Chrome | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Morena | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Level | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Coalminer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Staythirstymyamigo | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Empress | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Springs Bling | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pearl’s Earl | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infiniteexperience | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Flight | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stapleton Song | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vigorish | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Bling | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campisi | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O T C Wiz | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adobe Walls | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bye Bye Ray | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rumpus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Push Send | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bendelene | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hushed Court Room | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mainline | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heatin Up | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Because | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cheer Up | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blueberry Eyes | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Massard | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.