Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Woods N Water 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sy Michael 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bryken N Mitchell 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Seehoss 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lower Cretaceous 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sir Overanalyze 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Heza Pickle 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Tincan Man 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Duke of Blue Ridge 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Forged in Steel 4.50 7.5 14-1
11 11 Dixie Star 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Thoughtsandprayers 5.00 1 2-1
6 7 Goodnightloving 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Lil Allie Dancer 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Hurricane Tizway 15.00 4 8-1
1 3 Cyclone Sorority 2.00 4.6 9-1
9 10 Alberta Moon 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Ginny B 3.50 5.8 11-1
8 9 Savvy Shipman 8.00 6.6 13-1
5 6 Take Charge Gal 12.00 7.7 15-1
1A 5 Sucre 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shankinstine 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 He’s a Classic 20.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Wheels Turning 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sassi Aspen 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Joey’s Lightening 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 K V Target 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Ronalds Gatsby 2.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Triple 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Smooth Custom 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Queenie’s Leroy 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Wood River 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chelsea’s Glory 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Minnesota Miracle 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Citizen West 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Union Station 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Smarty Grimes 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Shippingport 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Big Boy Dave Rex 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Cucina 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Liken It 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Johnnysjourney 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Extirpator 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Palatial Times 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cherokee Takeover 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Girl in Black 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Mollys Flyin High 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Ironit 2.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Summertime Bandit 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Say What 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Brave Ollie 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Lil Adeau 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Our Liberina 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Twn Ms Midship 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Policy Limit 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tapped Out 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Xanthus Wrath 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Michael’s Bad Boy 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Witch’s Vow 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ambassador House 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Out Making Treble 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Double Priority 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Country Cut 6.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Confess 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hard Twist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just Plain Mad 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mad Gold 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Carlos Punch 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 My Amigo Charlie 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Cabochon Treasure 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Half a Buck 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Bulletsrevenge 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Mizspelt 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jubella 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tincandance 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Texas Red Bel 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Chasing Shadows 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 My Friend Amy 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kind Ways 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Akiane’s Soldier 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Explosively Hot 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Suzy Doll’s Ready 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Marina 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cozzolani 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 A Runnin Afleet 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Blue Cowgirl 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sky Tizzy 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Classy Nana 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Abby Dabby 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.