Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | No People | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Blaze | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’ Bit of Chrome | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Tale Breeze | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Joy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Single Saturday | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lanky Lou | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Soul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ima Bling Cat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Electoral | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Cause | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pomeroy Haze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carl G | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hamazing Wisdom | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimal Courage | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zinasdestinyvirago | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Lassie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dusty Ford | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Getonouttahere | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swirling Wine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clay’s Opal Indy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Giraffe | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Allie Grace | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Covington Quality | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Will | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shipman’s Song | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ronald Dale | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catale Storm | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timely Reply | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toah | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alarm System | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spectactical | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fredonian | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockport Kat | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deanos Cape | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dobbins G | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taruca | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Power Red | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Wild Ride | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initiator | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Excellency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Lender | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Genomic | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ain’t That a Kick | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pissarro’s Mandate | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Istan Warrior | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Soul | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Initiator | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Can’t Tell Ya | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poker Play | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Eighty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Beans | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizhotndusty | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Declined | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Affluent Gentleman | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punch Em | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cathedral Beach | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cost a Fortune | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princedreamcess | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peek Factor | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany Twist | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jj’s American Diva | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taiga | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danzig Up a Storm | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blow Sum Smoke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dashyns Dream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Deputy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mendi’s Girl | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunny San Leon | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betyar Azets | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blooming Hills | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winehouse | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Express | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marilyn’s Time | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Davina | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Pepper | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnboys Jenny | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.