Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Domitia Lucilla | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Beauty | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Tommy Lee | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Believing | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monocacy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Eros Girl | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Funky Music | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pure | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hometown Hero | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthurian | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Boat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nineties Country | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Let Me Love You | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giroovin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Secret | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Booster Shot | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winters Lion | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eight Straight | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freezing Point | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atkins | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Fashion Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupids Payday | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Condensation | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Clouds | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’ll Never Know | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Addie Lynn | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lantern’s Candy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Valeria | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stupendous | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Verdandi | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Red Cloud | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Bee | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Creek Road | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dogwoods Becca | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start Class | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arneis | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knelcock | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bird Hunter | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summer Autumn Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barstow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokey Lee | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Not Yet Charlie | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overthought | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kidyounot | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ferryboat | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deceiver | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hellorhighwater | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasin Charlie | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Franco | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Spirit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Countzler | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frog Town | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Creative Strategy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Street Swagg | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | F T W Slam | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Strike | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constitution Day | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Ground | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nikki’sthefavorite | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Northern Runner | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louisianimal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Reprehend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shortly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Distorted Secrets | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stanley Market | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cant Be Touched | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ring Me Darling | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waters of Merom | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loma Vista | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zing | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezz Koldazice | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annagangsta | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mohaylady | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fast as Flight | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Fast as Flight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle of the Ball | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toeris | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duplicitous | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Judith | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roc’s Princess | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joyful Applause | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fuente Ovejuna (GB) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quaria Brava | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dame Joviale | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Sixtyone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Casa de Goat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Currency | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Midnight Raid | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Maasai Warrior | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Looker | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Raid | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Town Branch | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory March | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cawkab | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cant Be Doin That | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electromagnetic | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reserve Currency | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | York Tavern | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mount Craig | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mayan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Under the Gun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.