Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 3, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Don’t Look Ethel 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Roadside Girl 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Chaos Magic 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 It’s Time Baby 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mo Dixie Diva 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Shooting Stick 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Amelies Dreamer 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sammy Jammy 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Neverland Band 8.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Poseidon’s Queen 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Korat Queen 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss S T Lee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ann’s Storm 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Bella 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Julio Choice 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 In for a Penny 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 T R’s First 15.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Judge This Trip 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Friendly Aces 2.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Les and Madge 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Zeerock 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mylies Star 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ashley’s Girl 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gotteminabind 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Jivin Astro 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Yes I’m a Lady 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 She’s Takin Over 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Bri 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 My Royal Princess 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Cabeza de Tortuga 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lastprecious d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Galaxy Affair 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stellar Fantasy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alia Max 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Taylors Babe 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Talty 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Encore Encore 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Tale of Tensas 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Fort Pike 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Dontforgetrdreams 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Segoviana 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Pepper Point 12.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 La Danta 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Moody Rafaela 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Chopper 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Vodka Gimlet 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Unfathomed 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Venn 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Vim and Vigor 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Drewhustle 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Wise Verdict 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Game Day Play 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Intimidation 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Golden Passage 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Old Indian Trick 2.50 1 2-1
1A 2 Bibleman 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 5 Alterana 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 9 Powershot 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 Smooth Colliery 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 3 Colonel Klink 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 4 Baseball Lover 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 McLean 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pickens 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mean American 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kiss Goodbye 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Diatonic 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Respect All 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Czar’s Ballerina 3.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Guanajuato 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Stop Shop N Drop 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crider Chase 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anna Clause 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Burning Desire 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Beyond the Hype 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Chrome Savage 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Rebecca G 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Us Second Cute Pie 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Kaitlyn’s Court 10.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 El Caliente Lady 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Gifted Talent 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz Showbiz 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Guitarzan 12.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Lovethatcause 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Darren’s Fortune 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Maintainance Matt 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Downtowner 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Off Sixes 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Town Drunk 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Thunk 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Liam Skye 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Cap Rock Miner 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.