Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Avant 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Fireline 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Accidental Icon 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Guns n’ Graces 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Appalachian Trail 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Mean Mongol 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Serena’s Court 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Digital Future 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 King James 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Devilly 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Necromancer 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Blinding Light 1.60 6 11-1
1 1 Holey Matrimony 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keeper of Time (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Amalfi Princess 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Short Summer Dress 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hit the Woah 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Zelda (FR) 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Maggie’s Bid 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Athwaaq 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Hey Mamaluke 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Piece of My Heart 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alarm Clock 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cinderella’s Cause 1.20 2.3 4-1
6 6 Shanes Pretty Lady 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Big Tony’s Girl 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Gris Tormenta 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Game Theory 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 London Gold 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strong Embrace 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rigby 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Freedom Machine 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Tingling Mint 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 One Track Mine 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Our Jessica 8.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Control Function 1.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Infringement 50.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Any Port 15.00 9.7 18-1
15 15 Command Point 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Hope for the Best 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mandy Green 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Princess Blakely 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dancing Sophia 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Rosemary Potatoes 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ice Cold Gold 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady Quinn 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Clover Street 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Highway Harmony 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Vax 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Blanchiment 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fema Funds 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Britney Is Free 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bank Holiday 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Pretty Miss Keens 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Rosie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 9 Love Tank 10.00 1 2-1
6 5 Every Time 8.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Sweetlou’sgotaces 2.50 7.5 14-1
10 10 Tap It Up 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Iguazu (IRE) 10.00 9.2 17-1
7 6 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 6.00 9.6 18-1
4 3 Candle 6.00 9.6 18-1
2 1 Gustiamo 20.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Ocean Spirit (GB) 6.00 10.1 19-1
5 4 Spun Special 8.00 10.4 20-1
9 8 Positive Message (GB) 8.00 10.8 20-1
8 7 Material Witness 12.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Biloxi Blues 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 14 Words of Praise 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Nightsaber (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caramocha 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 New York Banker 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Know It All Audrey 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mia Bea Star 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gringotts 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Big Time Lady 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 La Victoria 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Turnback The Alarm H.) – Turnback The Alarm H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First to Act 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Nostalgic 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Battle Bling 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 W W Fitzy 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Exotic West 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Coach 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Hybrid Eclipse 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kara Para 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sweetness 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Showemyourheels 2.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Bomb Squad 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Caribbean Breeze 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Shoppingatbloomies 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Miss Barb 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 The Splendid One 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Deniece of Degrace 20.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Bernt Again 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maddie’s Grace 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss Fashionista 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Leadership Ability 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Queenpin 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Red Hot Chick 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Joey the Fish 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.