Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zoey’s Hippie 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Little Puck 2.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hyperbolist 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Eurobeliever 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hedaresthedevil 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ondatrackpimpernel 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mr. Numero Uno 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Petey 12.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Malibu Money 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hightail Cowboy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mischief’s Machine 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 G Victory 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Full of Glory 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Dallas Gold 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Silent Power 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Oso Negro 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marketbook 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bork 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Whiskey Gent 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Top Hat Cat 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 11 Lookin for Larry 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sporty Flyer 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mr. Curlin 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Big Sessy 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Shady Monkey 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Amazing American 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flashy Premo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Serape 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Charlie Gras 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Aden’s Ransom 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Noneya 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Courtly Doc 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Myfriendsawinner 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Scrapbook 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Gator Proud 5.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Jr’s Pacifico 6.00 1 2-1
5 4 Crimson Storm 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Sadie’s Light 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Jeffrow 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Target Practice 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 True Deal 12.00 3.4 6-1
1A 9 Lucky Break 2.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Justa Buster 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Rumohr Reigns 3.50 SCRATCH
1 6 Wilton 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lauri’s Wish 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bind Faith 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Charli Michael 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Draft Choice 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Too Much Bourbon 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Jamaican Me 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Grand Priority 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mo Credo 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Hostile Afleet 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Wise Anchor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cadillac Ridge 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Loneshilohspecial 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Lutie Mo 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Be a Bandit 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Emmas Ruler 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Iron Banner 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Our Little Girl 5.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Silver Siren 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Treasure Chest S.) – Treasure Chest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kela’s Turn 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Free Like a Girl 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bow Bow Girl 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Pretti Xtreme 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Champagne Affair 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Onamargaritaday 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 It’sfiftyshadetime 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Hannah’s Haven 4.50 7 13-1
11 11 Cupere 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Oliviaofthedesert 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Semble Juste (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bourbon St Tappin 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Rithmicallea 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Three Run Homer 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Bassett 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Dealin’ Stelen 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Prairie Squall 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Late Nite Mischief 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Irish Expectations 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 October Surprise 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Applewood 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.