Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bye Bye Buggsy 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Along Came Joann 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cheekiest 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 I’m Still in It 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Spanning the Globe 5.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Hard But Smart 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Smokem Howard 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mentirosa 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Start Them Up 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Hot Rod Jimmy 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 King Zog 2.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Slightly Dirty 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Big Drinker 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magic Game 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Good Boo Joo 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Roubaix 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Chevy Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Finnley’s Kitten 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 The Big Cake 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Shezmisbehaving 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fort Bragg 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Reincarnate 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Heartbreak Kid 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Odonata 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 My Partner Glen 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Alexander Helios 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Cosmic Soul 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barristan The Bold (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
11 10 Kant Beat the Rock 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 King of Speed 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Grit and Curiosity 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Ted 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 George Herman Ruth 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Bud Knight 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Larry’s Legend 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 He Be Mojo Risin 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Box of Chocolates 10.00 7.5 14-1
12 11 Leprino 15.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Jacks Outlaw 8.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Little Demon 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cold City 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Asphalt Andy 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Whiskey Vision 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dadstar 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Memorandum 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Crypto Munny 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Cross Examine 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Rusty B Cause 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Raisedaroofcharlie 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 O Brother 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Mongolian Ninja 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orth 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Donner Lake 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Touch of Zen 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Agador Spartacus 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dark Marcus 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Street Humor 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Exclamation 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Drizella 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grandiosely 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Cause She’s a Lady 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Never Sway 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cal 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 She Loves Karaoke 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Anna Volante 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Big Treat 6.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Shemakescents 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Warren’s Queen Bee 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Royal Blend 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 House of Targaryen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Candy On Top 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fursace 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Beautiful Temple 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Shocking Grey 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Margot’s Girl 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sapadilla 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Kaylas Joy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Jostar 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Balladeer 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Go On 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Agatino (IRE) 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Kingmeister 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Royal Act 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sydney Street (GB) 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.