Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Machisima | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’s Soul | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pino in a Purse | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleanor Powell | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy’s Sister | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anita Grigio | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivy’s Star | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Rebel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taradar | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spiral Storm | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Start Me Up | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unilateral | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santiago Salsa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brown Brewskii | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Checkerboard Floor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fielder | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Race for Pinks | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Turn | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emicrack (CHI) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Veloce | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hyperfocus | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hallie’s Hero | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dani’s Victory | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Society Joe | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Knights | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taos (FR) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sailor’s Passion | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmenootz | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jegos Fire | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hushemup | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashwicken | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dusty’s Chance | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brienne of Tarth | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ivictory | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Original Me | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamingof Jeannie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Drop Fox | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince Sussex | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wood Be Wild | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cerebro | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arquebus | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Point | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bullet Speed | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adelaide Court | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am Resilient | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Lunar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half to Reload | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Holiday | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gem Quality | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Might Bee Speedy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posturing | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puddingontheritz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chancel | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | H C Holiday | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Point | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Way | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Credit River | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Box N Score | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Same Again Doc | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hell Bent | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | October Frost | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesomecrest | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Download | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shes the North | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Luz de La Luna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.