Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Machisima 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 D’s Soul 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Pino in a Purse 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Eleanor Powell 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Savvy’s Sister 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Anita Grigio 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ivy’s Star 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Quiet Rebel 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Taradar 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Spiral Storm 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Just Start Me Up 3.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sir Grayvenscroft 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Unilateral 2.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Santiago Salsa 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Big Brown Brewskii 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Checkerboard Floor 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fielder 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Race for Pinks 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Forester’s Turn 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Malibu Secret 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Emicrack (CHI) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Veloce 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hyperfocus 3.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Hallie’s Hero 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dani’s Victory 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Society Joe 20.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Giant Critic 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Four Knights 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Taos (FR) 15.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Sailor’s Passion 10.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Carmenootz 12.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Jegos Fire 4.50 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hushemup 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ashwicken 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dusty’s Chance 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Brienne of Tarth 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Ivictory 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Original Me 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Dreamingof Jeannie 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Lemon Drop Fox 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prince Sussex 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Wood Be Wild 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Cerebro 2.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Arquebus 8.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Mystic Point 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bullet Speed 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Adelaide Court 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 I Am Resilient 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sooner Lunar 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Half to Reload 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Boss Holiday 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gem Quality 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Might Bee Speedy 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Posturing 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Puddingontheritz 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chancel 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 H C Holiday 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Hit the Point 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Gospel Way 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Credit River 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Box N Score 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Same Again Doc 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hell Bent 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 October Frost 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Awesomecrest 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Download 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Shes the North 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Luz de La Luna 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.