Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Idea Generation (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hola Gata | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spelterini | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingmaking (GB) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Beauty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Grace | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juniper’s Moon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Empire | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Words of Praise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iron Lion in Zion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ria’s Angel | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nicholas James | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kong Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milano | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Achilles Heel | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jonny Quist | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sight Unseen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Melting Snow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Diva | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Viradia | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Brew | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missing Link | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diva Banker | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shadolamo | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daily Briefing | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Atlantic Beach S.) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vacation Dance | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inflation Nation (IRE) | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be of Courage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiringo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Sleepychipmunk | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addicted to You | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Your Mission | 1.80 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toga Dancer | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sense a Giant | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Central Pride | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whisky Warrior | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Prince | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Truck | 30.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Reunion Tour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Heroneandonly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Media Sensation | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | On Palm Sunday | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | A Lister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Midnight Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Steerage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bay | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super John | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | F F Rocket | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapizearance | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Rules | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Risk Profile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stewart Manor S.) – Stewart Manor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Redifined | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dulcia | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Recinto Rompere | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Debbie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dontlookbackatall | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showgirl Lynne B | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonage Daydream | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Georgees Spirit | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shidabhuti | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Leddy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Life Changer | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Judge Davis | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reggae Music Man | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | American Gentleman | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watasha | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jester’s Song | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Ryan’s Cat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Prisoner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dot’s Dollar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Action Jackson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Kringle | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agent Creed | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bricco | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voliero | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excursionniste | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giramonte | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alite | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fatima’s Blessing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Citizen K | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Georges Kingdm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Battle Scars | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Top Envoy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Marinara Sauced | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maseta | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timbuktu | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gooch Go Bragh | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fieldstone | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bless Bless | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Gordon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breadman | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hard Rye Guy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ginnsu Warrior | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spettro | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pivotal Run | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ableton | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mr. Connecticut | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | He’s Got It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Impulsiveness | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.