Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crafty Don 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spark (PER) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Triple Titos 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Code Name Brody 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Chrome Finish 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Midnight Trick 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Marcel 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Spotted Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Noicattaro 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Captain Cardo 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mr Boldacious 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ingreido 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Fore On Seven 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sunny Saint 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Mapache G 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Imperial King 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fran’s Worrier 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Flat Lucky 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Otis Otis Otis 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bailey 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Pepe and Heywood 12.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Super Garner 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Even Thunder 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nick the Cardshark 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bellswillberinging 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mizzen 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Brummagem 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Blind Sight 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Special Freedom 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 School of Thought 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 3 Angelus Warrior 2.50 1 2-1
6 7 Morocco 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Wall 8.00 4.2 8-1
1A 5 Miracle Silver 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Devious Mo 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 9 The Exception 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hard Lighting 1.60 SCRATCH
2B 8 Muchacho Macho 2.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Longtail 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Goodluckchuck 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rustys Gfivefifty 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Omati 8.00 2.8 5-1
1A 7 Frosted Indian 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 4 Bumperdoo 1.80 4.1 8-1
5 5 Prairie 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Welling 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bright Forecast 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Evey’s Candy 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Howgreatisnate 1.80 2.9 6-1
6 6 Wild Mule 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Riccio 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 R B’s the Boss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tale Gatoring 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mighty Frosted 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Alignment 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rayo Negro 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Allaboutthebeach 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fast Ride 8.00 5 10-1
2 2 Normalizeddeviance 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Pallieter 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.