Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run Away Samari | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Destiny | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R T’s Gem | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Candy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nicely Unified | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s Aunt J | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addi Bug | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Cowgirl | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megans Millions | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dreamit | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Tidelands | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | She’s My Priority | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mschitchattour | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aphrodites Revenge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missgreeley’ssong | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shrew Grit | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | High Value Target | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unified Love | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Z | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cece Wave | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riptide Rose | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lawless Times | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little E | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time to Close | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Charlene | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Prank | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runtoday | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron’s Spirit | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scatamaran | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blindedbythegees | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Big One | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Magic | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackteca | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wings of Gold | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hulen | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Monzza | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Parlay Pete | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Overdeliver | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Witt’s Taquito | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Frank the Mayor | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Jazzy Justin | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rifle Man | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Five O One | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Masterly | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Charm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Gee | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dueforadate | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Thirsty | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truly a Rocket | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cave Creek | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Learn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Bonus | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Loving | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold Merritt | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Wild Bert | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | No Pedigree | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Pickens | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slither | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hail State | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magawildtime | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Prizeless | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Prado’s Priority | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Delta Mile S.) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rightandjust | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dust Em | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamer’s Disease | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Portos | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munqad | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortuity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pipes and Drums | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jackman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Mandate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jambi | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alligator Crawl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Math Man | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Jr. | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bottomless | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Quality | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Rojo | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captains Cove | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valiant Defender | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hesacalendarboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lou’s Arrow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.