Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Imagine the Mojo 0 0-1
3 3 Imagine the Mojo 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Shemademelucky 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 If Then 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Backstreet Gal 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Along the Way 1.80 5 9-1
2 2 Caged Pixie 4.00 6 11-1
1 1 Please Marry Me 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Earley Rose 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Sensation 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Love My Cat 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Talks in Her Sleep 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Little Nutter 5.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Bourbon Gypsy 6.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Nibbles 5.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Chelichna 5.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Blame the Irish 12.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Heartburn 10.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Blueberry Pie 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Lottaclass Lilsass 20.00 11.9 22-1
13 13 Karen’s Catita 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ephemeral 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Middle Island 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nomo Ron 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hard Fought 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dialing Dixie 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fort Fortitude 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tom Terrific 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Excalibur 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hair of the Dog 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blame B B 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Front Dancer 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bourbon On the Bay 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Cheval Dore 12.00 4 7-1
5 5 Aristocat 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 He Rolls 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Junglherly Love 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Sjo Americanempire 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Knowhowiknow 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Vinny 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dolice Vita 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Badger Tooth 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Galatians 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Aftermath 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Point of Grace 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Mr. Mosley 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 See Out 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bushwick Bruiser 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Icandothat 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Oro Gris 3.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Arlo Bello 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Henderson 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cup Match 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Photo Copy 5.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Frog Prince 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Smoozer 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Good Knight Nile 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fire d’Rocket 30.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Maybe It’s Time 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Perfect Peace 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Swallow Beach 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bustoff 3.50 1 2-1
4 5 Walk Away Joe 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 6 Forloveofcountry 6.00 3.3 6-1
1A 4 Nautilus 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 7 Crouchelli 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Savoy 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 The King Cheek 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wicked Mad 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 He’s Orientate 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Biz Biz Buzz 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Boss Man J J 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Heather’s Gold 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Airspeed Velocity 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Gongheifatchoy 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Hurricane Andrew 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Roman Poet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Askin for a Baskin 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 John the Bear 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Manolito 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Souper Royal Moon 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Elusive Agent 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Chocolate Shake 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Choir 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Fashionista 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lady Mosler 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Strawberry Point 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Categoryninetynine 4.50 3.3 6-1
12 12 Vanilla Bean 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Isabella’s Glory 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 The Sweaty Fox 5.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Holy Delite 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Brzina 30.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Performanceanxiety 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Queen of the Cats 30.00 10.9 21-1
14 14 Bizzy Bizzy 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Police Woman 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.