Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 5, 2022
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imagine the Mojo | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Imagine the Mojo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shemademelucky | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | If Then | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backstreet Gal | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Along the Way | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caged Pixie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Please Marry Me | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Earley Rose | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sensation | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Cat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talks in Her Sleep | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Nutter | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Gypsy | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nibbles | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chelichna | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Irish | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heartburn | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blueberry Pie | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Karen’s Catita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ephemeral | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Middle Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nomo Ron | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Fought | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialing Dixie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Fortitude | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Terrific | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excalibur | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hair of the Dog | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blame B B | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Front Dancer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon On the Bay | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheval Dore | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocat | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He Rolls | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junglherly Love | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sjo Americanempire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Knowhowiknow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vinny | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolice Vita | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Badger Tooth | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galatians | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aftermath | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point of Grace | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mosley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | See Out | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bushwick Bruiser | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icandothat | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oro Gris | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arlo Bello | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Henderson | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cup Match | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Photo Copy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frog Prince | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoozer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Good Knight Nile | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire d’Rocket | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Maybe It’s Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Perfect Peace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Swallow Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustoff | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Walk Away Joe | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Forloveofcountry | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Nautilus | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Crouchelli | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savoy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The King Cheek | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Mad | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Orientate | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biz Biz Buzz | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Man J J | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heather’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Airspeed Velocity | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gongheifatchoy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Andrew | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roman Poet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Askin for a Baskin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John the Bear | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manolito | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Royal Moon | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Agent | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Shake | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Choir | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fashionista | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mosler | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Point | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Categoryninetynine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vanilla Bean | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isabella’s Glory | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Sweaty Fox | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Holy Delite | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brzina | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Performanceanxiety | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of the Cats | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bizzy Bizzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Police Woman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.