Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sake and Sushi 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sixtofive 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Pola Star 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 D’oro Baby 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cherry Gardens 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Passion to Please 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Spirit Belle 4.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Celtic Revival 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sparkle Sammy 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Northern Ruby 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Ima Daredevil 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Careless Heiress 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sassy Martini 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Shes the North 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Monastery Lane 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 I’ll Take the Gold 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Classy Mistress 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Round Pick 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trizzel Trazzel 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sacred Dancer 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Swinging Mandy 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Batyah 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kerics Beauty 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Free Shipping 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 All Time Classic 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Red Mavrik 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Pot Committed 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Social Justice 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Street Max 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 The Band Coming 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Ngabe 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Beaufort 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Liplock 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Tough 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ghost d’Oro 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Eme Claire 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Miss Vyvyanne 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Worry Less 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Two Redheads 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Beyond Reason 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Neolithic Nation 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 Collectively 3.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Star Candy 4.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arriviste 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bayou Belle 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Lady Maeve (IRE) 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Erasmo’s Girl 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Trish the Dish 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Classic Colors 2.50 6 11-1
8 8 Gabby Squared 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 I Have an Idea 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Whimsical Dance 3.50 7.9 15-1
5 5 Foxy Diva 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Glorious Song S.) – Glorious Song S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Michele M. 0 0-1
13 13 Play the Music 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Helluva Holiday 30.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Collecting Flatter 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dolce Sopresa 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Collect Dattt 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Fearless Angel 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Attabe 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Forever Dixie 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Anam Cara 12.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Michele M. 20.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Replenish 30.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Witch Hazel 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Firing Bullets 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ticker Tape Home 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Display S.) – Display S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Keen Flatter 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chiseler 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ticker Tape Home 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hal 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hank Ollie 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Firing Bullets 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Forever Dixie 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Alpha Meister 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Suspicious Minds 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 T’pring 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Skipover 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 She’s So Cold 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Reins of Purple 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fire Emoji 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Stole the Ring 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Royal Chrome 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Best Bank Shot 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ol’ Blondie 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Billyjane 12.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Into Touring 3.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Jill 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Verdejo 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Ima Beast 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 American Heroine 6.00 5 10-1
12 12 Trading Bay 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Arra Go Wan 12.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Shoshanah 12.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Gizmo’s B F F 20.00 11 21-1
4 4 Mrs. Del 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.