Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 6, 2022
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tall Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Words of Praise | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cookie Crumbs | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nightsaber (GB) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here We Go Again | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Welcometomyworld | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernt Again | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hoochie Coo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Login Required | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Kathmandu | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mercante | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youbetterbejoking | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixwillberich | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disturbed | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Bird Forest | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Sam | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie’s Alibi | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Night | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binsky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Mama | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Vita Sofia | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mullingar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scramble | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ari Gold | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Right | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Baron | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonflyer | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Gate | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Let Me Down | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sorpreso | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confronted | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Blakely | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mandy Green | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosemary Potatoes | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diva Ready | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Capital Gal | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempermental | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Dolly | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sals Dream Girl | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Synonymous | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Write This Down | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope for the Best | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Command Point | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Simple Sugar | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Anoint | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ice Cold Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Founder | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Market Alert | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Founder | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nabokov | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Stopper | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truculent | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Boy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Sing for Wine | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Ohana Honor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Big Wicks | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Battuta d’Oro | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Cascais | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Summer Cause | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | McCullough | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Tapit Trice | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Magiadoro | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Game Change | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waterville | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silken Dollar | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Ginya | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fist Full of Dice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Chrome | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapple Cider | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Taffy | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Nashua S.) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Speed | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Moon Madness | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champions Dream | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prove Right | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torrone | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Signator | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Media Sensation | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mistical Curlin | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | What a Dude | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mad Magic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lookin Grand | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Labarde | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Most Wanted Man | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On Palm Sunday | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Empire Attraction | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fierce Debate | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Lister | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Union Lights | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | North Pole | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lefty’s War | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Logan’s Runner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | More Than Work | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.