Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | You’re a Dandy | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulosity | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Tapiture | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peaceful Moment | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spunk | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gambi | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Job’s Not Finished | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Girl Like Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princesstapiture | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Isle Beach | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aidanike | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Tourista | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Peapod | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baby Billy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inspeightoftrainer | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Prize | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tumbarumba | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Aces | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itwasthisbig | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey Freshwater | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blanton | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Touch Code | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allo Enry | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Island Mischief | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Workinfromhome | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mud Puddle | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Without Rein | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Veritable | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prestonsbird | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Sting | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mulberry Street | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss Principal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jacks Fire Balls | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | T J Munnings | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vasilevskiy (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm’s Reflection | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Father Patrick | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Commander | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Contender | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ankyrah | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Act | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Road | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Markswoman | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Time Mo | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Tango | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cancel This | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In My Opinion | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Flirty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s All Class | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Portilla | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Code for Success | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Pyramid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Send for Me | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Penny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recoded | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah Harper | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Be Like Water | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovemesomeme | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lofthouse | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amusing Antics | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cousin Larry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keepcalmcarryon | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Rags | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miacomet | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Declare the Moon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freeze Pop | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Birds | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Ahijado | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Extravagate | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Nash | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.