Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biloxi Blues | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Biloxi Blues | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Undervalued Asset | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Free | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pardon Moi | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Biloxi Blues | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Audit Committee | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Contrive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greeley and Ben | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Day | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marvin | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scilly Cay | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Drive | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kumar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Sweet Wife | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Weekend | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Paynt | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Wife | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Black Belt | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suspended Campaign | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genesis One | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | He’sgottashortfuse | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disengage | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sean the Hammer | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papi On Ice | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Quality | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Joker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Again | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Psychic Income | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Genesis One | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Hope | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Brody | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maxim Moment | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speight’spercomete | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Mucho Man | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jay’stalker | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Atone | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Cold Hard Cash | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Value Engineering | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Glynn County | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tide of the Sea | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Unbridled Bomber | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raining Candy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Beauty Princess | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweeter | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Kreem Sundae | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merger of Equals | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Sugar | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Cold Gold | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Dancer | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Kokopelli | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Towering Orbit | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Social Whirl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Derrynane | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palace Gossip | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blame It On Mary | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captainsdaughter | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Itsakeyper | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road to Remember | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 15 | Ruvies in Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Happy Sophia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Pretty Clever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Vallelujah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Cleat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siege of Boston | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Aruba | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Quick | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fazaro | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Indemnify (FR) | 1.40 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Moon | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Equaljusticeforall | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bali Riddim | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stjames | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Tiger Town Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Happy Bob | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.