Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Butwaitthere’smore 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Genius 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 War Zong 3.50 3 6-1
10 10 Prayforthewin 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Russet Moon 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Uncle Chan 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Moonshine Max 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Dee Din 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Saberman 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 West Texas Bob 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 G E H Giants Way 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dignified N Krafty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Feature 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rubiginous 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Midnight Nightmare 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 My Boy Gus 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Flashburn 9.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Clear Humor 4.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Aligned Interest 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Rock On Cowboy 5.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Justa Swinging 12.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Sournois 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Boating Party 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bold Minister 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Indefensible Town 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Make Your Destiny 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Fishin With Pete 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Lifeasweknowit 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 City Boy Eastwood 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 St Pierre 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Little Star Target 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Deal Me a Penny 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Run Natalie Run 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Apriority Girl 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Sheza Salty Gal 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Miss Priority 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Won Day 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Alexaplayborntorun 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Final Quest 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Crypto Brave 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Follow the Saint 8.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Molli Way 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sunshine Star 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wyman 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Balky 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Tool Box 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Bayou Beaux 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Gettinhot’nhere 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Caribe Nights 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Pat Me Down 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 M and M’s Custom 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Full Power 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Feller 12.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 J C’s in Town 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ghost Cowboy 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whitaker 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Louis Le Grande 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Ricky Bobby 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mo Vodka 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bordeaux Red 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Life Is a Banquet 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Biloxi 5.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Josan 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Thundertakesdalead 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Twirling Chief 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Papiringo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brinee 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cash Bizness 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Tensas Virginia 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 She Wants Half 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Kleinmeister 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Fish N Chick 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Alys Episode 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mysterious Star 6.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Roux Bandit 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Miss Checkmark 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 5 Gimmeasound 1.40 1 2-1
3 1 Half Ours N Stormy 3.00 2.3 4-1
2B 6 Golden Palace 1.40 2.4 5-1
6 7 Lion Heart Legend 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 3 Bryken N Mitchell 4.50 5 9-1
4 2 Reece’s Priority 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Diablo Cat 6.00 7.2 14-1
1A 8 My Man Louie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Confess 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 South Al Sparky 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Ide Like Hawaii 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lucky Big Daddy 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 War Reporter 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Big Boss Man 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sky Watch 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mista Valentine 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.