Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Clear Conscience 0 0-1
9 9 Provision 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Atlanta’s Acuna 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Barry the Builder 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Slapintheface 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Clear Conscience 4.50 7.1 13-1
11 11 Empire Ride 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Wynn Giant 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 D’arpino B C 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Sharpaz 12.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Mama Banned Me 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 King of Comedy 10.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Tony O 20.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 Wanna Winna 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Metamorphoses 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bourbon Chase 1.60 SCRATCH
13 13 General Banker 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Matt Doyle 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Giant’s Fire 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Happy Bob 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Opportunity Set 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Magical Ways 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Tiger Town Boy 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Battle Scars 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Barrage 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Straw Into Gold 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Grape Nuts Warrior 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Catch That Party 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Jack the Cat 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Graded On a Curve 2.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Therapist 4.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Regal Speaker 20.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 K P All Systems Go 20.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 Six Percent 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Prince of Pharoahs 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Baldizar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Central Pride 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Reunion Tour 30.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Bert Bert Bert 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Midnight Express 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Steerage 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Cicciobello 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Salty Heir 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chaysenbryn 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sa Foradada 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Mia Bea Star 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Spooky Road 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tough Street 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gagliano 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monshun 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talk of the Nation 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Nieuwendyk 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Assertive Attitude 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Paxsational 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Finn’s Moment 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Code Name 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forty Two Ace 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Ocean’s Reserve 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sundaeswithsandy 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dangerous Edge 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Great Workout 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Can’t Beat Me 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Rhymes Like Dimes 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dealing Justice 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Self Isolation 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Fouette 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Short Summer Dress 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Piece of My Heart 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sister Annie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Breadman 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Forty Comets 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 B C Glory Days 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Inspiration Point 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Centavo 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 He’s Got It 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Raw Courage 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Vancouver d’Oro 4.50 7.7 14-1
7 7 Slow Decision 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.