Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leisurewear (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sareeha (IRE) 1.60 3 6-1
7 7 Ruthless But Kind 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lookintogeteven 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Takemebythehand (GB) 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 First Point 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Infinite Empire 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Apfel 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Magnificent 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 La’och Aloysius 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Picking It Up 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Naughty Niko 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 American Refugee 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Helladic 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Ah Jeez 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mas Rapido (GB) 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Jordan 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tangledupingrey 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Multi Platinum 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Baladi 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mitico 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Troubadour 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Moraweth 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Candy for Carmel 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Chipper 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Laughing Legacy 4.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Rogue Son 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Flint Stroll 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Oncoming 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Caisson 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Petruchio 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Kazuhiko (AUS) 5.00 7 13-1
3 3 Durante 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Tisquantum 8.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Percolate (IRE) 5.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Encode 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 El Joy 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grazen Sun 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Atomic Drop 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Big Talker 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Nolongerahobby 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Leyas Candy 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mr. T’s Thirsty 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Lemon Sushi 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lil Richards Bello 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Club Cal 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Seattle Breakout 20.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Holiday Arousal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Script 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Handy Dandy 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Time to Party 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Crazy Dreams 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Degree of Risk 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 St Anthony 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Spycatcher 3.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Clutch Hitter 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Law Abiding 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sugar Sugar 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vegas Dream 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Golden Halo 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Worthiness 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bali Dancer 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Supercents 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Tiger’s Wish 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Heaven’s Ghost 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 La Chiquis 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Awsome Donna 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.