Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Captain Cool 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Hard Candy 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Valdina Dreams 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Texas Turbine 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Arkansas Zong 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Silver Chalice 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Willie the Man 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Daboogeyman 8.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Styling Hook 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 High Cruise 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Relentless Dancer 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Military Bearing 6.00 4.6 9-1
1A 8 Sarcastic Tone 3.00 6 11-1
2 1 Double Barrel Man 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Schnell 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Dust Em 6.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Doctor Leo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 The Boss Soss 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Benoit 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Buck’s Glory 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Pink Higgins 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Settle On Somethin 8.00 7.1 13-1
1A 11 Cajun Connection 3.50 7.2 14-1
2 1 Elusivedestination 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 4 Like This 12.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Sommelier 15.00 9 17-1
3 2 Sonya Knows Better 15.00 9.3 18-1
1 6 Kajun Karma 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Building Home 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 See Sassy Run 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Prayers Saved 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Envoys Legacy 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Stang It 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Foursweetnieces 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Glads Love Cat 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Angela’s Celerity 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Double Star 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pacificislandtime 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Wise Anchor 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Langs Day 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Mageez 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Speaktomeoflove 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Grand Luwegee 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Jax Man 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Escrow Style 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Far Beyond 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Too Much Crown 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bode’s Light 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Paynt Battle 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Shady Grady 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 G’s Storm 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Fort Bonz 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Tenor 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dancin With Angels 0 0-1
7 5 Knight Commander 10.00 1 2-1
5 3 Macho Rocco 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 1 Pay Dirt 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 9 Galaxy Builder 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Mike J 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 7 Dancin With Angels 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 2 Prizeless 4.00 7.5 14-1
8 6 Rush the Colors 4.00 7.7 15-1
9 8 Carry Thy Cross 12.00 SCRATCH
3C 11 Mists of Time 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Bibleman 4.00 SCRATCH
2B 10 Midnight Fire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (My Trusty Cat S.) – My Trusty Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Outofnothingatall 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Stellar Lady 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Taylors Tap 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Laylallee 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Tensas Candy 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Cant Attack Arch 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Savannah’s Here 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Angel and Me 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Tap Your Front 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Seemyvalentine 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 A P Humor 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Cabeza de Tortuga 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lucky Deal 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Charming Kat 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Ellie’s Touch 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Miss Yellow Meadow 6.00 9 17-1
11 11 Maywon 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bell Pepper 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.