Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Grand Slam 30.00 1 2-1
6 6 Too Much Vino 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Milk Money 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Exageradora 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Curlins Choir 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Glass Star 4.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Wicklow Gal 3.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Principia 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Causalistic 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 One Eyed Jack 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tone Feelin 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Double Tough Tiger 1.60 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gray Hope 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hierro 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Catching Fish 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Ucrania 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Unified Gurl 2.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Secret Samaritan 5.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Lipari 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Miss M M 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Adeliese’s Smile 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Confer 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Darling Luna 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucago 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Discreet Tune 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Uncle B 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Wora 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Speargun 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Speedy Hans 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Cactus Jack 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Big Daddy Dave 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seven P’s 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Cumberland Falls 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Vai Bella 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Strike Jak 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Luna Tuna 20.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Souper Tropical 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Great Analogy 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 For the Thrill 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Al Tirah 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Well Into 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Angie From Kulm 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Famosa 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aunt Nadine 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mabee Luckynwild 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sheza Happy Girl 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Foxy Lady 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hannita’s Empire 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dignified 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Sade Purse 4.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Nurse Judy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Omo Ten Girl 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mama Maria 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Guardian Angel 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Fortuna Belle 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kitty Quick 4.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Zosterop 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Starship Sunrise 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Mohawk Trail 5.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 My Insanity 30.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Brown Eyed Beauty 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brittiz 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lovelorn Lady 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 L. E. Gray 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Crystal Coast 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Khosea 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Extravagant Rosie 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tiz Enough 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Grandma’s Pudding 2.50 6.6 12-1
11 11 Isla Bonita 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Hardly Social 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 I Believe in Magic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smooth Motion 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Coalminer’s Kitten 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Preston Murray 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Imdabestintheworld 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Napa Dude 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Smart N Sharp 3.50 6.1 12-1
10 10 Super Spreader 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Heart Boy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ragman 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carolina Traffic 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.