Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vasy Says Nyet 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hopperness 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Seeing Red 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Buck Wild 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Great Days Ahead 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Super Dreamer 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Rufflesnflourishes 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cairo Boogie 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Uncommon Valor 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Give It a Go 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Similar Taste 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Saint Marco 2.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lookin for Justice 4.00 7 13-1
5 5 Notion to Tapit 3.50 7 13-1
3 3 Skating Date 10.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Manklin Creek 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crossland 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dyna Mast 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Strategic 2.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 The Last Scip 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Run Smitty Run 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Spiritual Ghost 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Stella’s Tour 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mintenon 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Maybe It’s Time 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Espresso Lungo 20.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Love Machine 8.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Constitutional Bid 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Off the Cuff 15.00 12.2 23-1
3 3 Casamo 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Perfect Peace 20.00 14.1 27-1
9 9 Rare Breed 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Thorny Tale 2.00 1 2-1
1A 8 Boss Logic 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fuel the Bern 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Yes Sir Robert 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 My Man Pots N Pans 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Sicilia Mike 2.50 6.1 12-1
4 3 Ekati’s Verve 3.50 6.6 13-1
7 7 Erawan 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tommy Shelby 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Acosta 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Maid the Journey 12.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Oxide 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Camp Pendleton 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 No More Talk 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Boondoggle 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Mamaigotthis 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Shoulda Had It 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Spitball 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hitch a Ride 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Twelveo’clockrock 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Fuhgeddaboudit 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Quiet Imagination 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Factorintheheat 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Winked 6.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 She’sarollingstone 2.50 8.4 16-1
7 7 Targe 15.00 11.1 21-1
13 13 Brushing 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Island Philo 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 In Vain 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Peace Out 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sparkle Sprinkle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proper Attire 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Canadian Ginger 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Dancer’s Melody 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Lady Jean 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Unrequited Love 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Behind the Couch 3.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Awesome View 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Bahama Pearl 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spicy Margarita 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bandits Warrior 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Moody Woman 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Response Time 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hope Has a Name 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Plane Drunk 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Halo City 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bourbon Wildcat 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Canoodle 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Everyoneloveslinda 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bernie’s On Fire 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Jettin Out 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Our Hoisted Mast 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Bad Guy 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Silent Service 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Confusion Baby Boy 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Leave ‘Em Loaded 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.