Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rashida 0 0-1
1 1 Seattle Trust 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Alberta Be Mine 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Rashida 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Fabuleux At Dawn 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Queen’s Image 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Rumours Fly 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Panic Switch 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Christina’s Ring 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Flat Out Angel 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tapiture Way 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Veery 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Speedy Lynn 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Born to Be Good 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bid Once 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Storm Gauge 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Touch of Rouge 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Winyah Bay 3.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Classic Queen 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Simple Souvenir 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz Bizness 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Dancing for Money 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 So Breanna 20.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Spirit O’Tipperary 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Forest Vixen 4.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Pretty Sensational 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Aqua Luna 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 I’m Exceptional 8.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Spanish Beauty 3.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Lady Xi 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kiddie Holiday 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Same Again Doc 12.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Tourist’s Dream 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Hit the Point 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Maximum Danger 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Stop the Humbug 6.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Laraque 8.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Broke an Broken 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mr. Agro 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Omega Moon 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Crumlin Experience 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Striking Heir 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Big League 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Coo Bird 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Correlate 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Pride and Passion 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Fifth Season 4.50 7.9 15-1
10 10 Steel Wool 15.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Perlarana 8.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Dr Chappell 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Do the Griddy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Ransom 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Guns n’ Rojas 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Seattle Point 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Absolute Chairman 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jim’s Hope 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Aura of Gold 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Grand Ambition 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Street Serenade 8.00 12 23-1
12 12 Mr Speed 12.00 12.5 24-1
10 10 Stephen B Good 10.00 12.7 24-1
11 11 River of Babylon 20.00 13.7 26-1
13 13 Wild Conversation 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Paramount Prince 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Crumlin Lad 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Passthepuddinpleaz 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jackie’s Pride 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Stylish Gent 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Heat Merchant 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Midnight Ramblin 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Exceed 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Doctor Wu 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Grand Alliance 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mr Narcissistic 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coltons Dream 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 I’m a Chi Too 8.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 High Heat 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Blue Max 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bokermin 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Commander Tom 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Beyond Borders 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Highland Society 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Big Executive 8.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Yzerman 20.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Doinggoodtrouble 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 One Punch Charlie 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Confident N Elite 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Liars Club 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Tara Tattoo 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mystic Point 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 5.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Magic Spin 4.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Supremeaction 10.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Four Bounce 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silent Lucidity 6.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Ahmas 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 More Than Happy 15.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Scenic Holiday 15.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.