Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 12, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Salute Now 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Prince Perfecta 1.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Catinandscatin 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Heza Sexy Zong 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Iron N Steel 4.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Custom Dancer 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Love Ours 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fired Up Tiger 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Absolutely 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Another Hot Mess 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Twelve Stars 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Malibu Kendall 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Viv Viv Viv 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Xcaret 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Diamond Indy Skies 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Louisiana Liberty 1.40 1 2-1
5 4 Taken It 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Decorated Lady 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Taking Pictures 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Gatsby’s Gift 8.00 5 9-1
6 5 Dancing Trick 8.00 5.6 11-1
1A 7 Tap Iron Fist 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tale of a Storm 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Invincibility 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Curtin’s Up 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Jonathan Who 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 I’m Looking Up 8.00 3.8 7-1
1A 8 Platinum Equity 2.50 4.6 9-1
9 10 Such 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 9 Gladyousawme 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Lunar Light 15.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Crimson Zip 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Jean Lafitte S.) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Toddchero 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Princely 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rithm Nic 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mustafa 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mazing Mark 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mangum 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Majestic Ways 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sweet Laura 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Teasin’ Tesla 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Unbridled Twister 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Jackies Irishdream 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Speed Queen 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dixie Penny 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Girls Count 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Life of Saturdays 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cold as You 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Venus Island 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 High Value Target 2.50 5 9-1
7 7 Sassy Sue’s Band 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Social Date 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Takenforgranted 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Spectacular Izzy 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Always in Vegas 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Chicken Or the Egg 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Kaitlyn’s Court 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 El Caliente Lady 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sournois 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Oak Hill Lg 3.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Lemon Kick 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Dealmeinbud 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Conga Boy 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Johnnysjourney 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 High Ridge 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Getcha 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Customize My Quest 4.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Waypoint 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bad Decisions 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Johnny Jude 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Time to Move 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Long Warrior 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Production Time 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Heza Breezin 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Wood River 6.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Count On Rain 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Kat’s Soldier 5.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Chelsea’s Glory 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Royal de Be 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Uncle Brad 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.