Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Master Spy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corduroy Road | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ace Destroyer | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be the Change | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Have Fun | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pound Green | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pierian | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mesa Skyline | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Practical Gizmo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mumblebee | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skinny Dippin | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milwaukee Bay | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lunatica | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Kitty | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarty Illusion | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admonish | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Into Mischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dawn Pharoah | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | English Shirl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popular Vote | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gio Maria | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Speaker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flippin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lois Len | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Systematic | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oheavens | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luz de La Luna | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Question | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dahlia | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Secrets | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Called Vacation | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonhro’s Gizmo | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Domi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Lad | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paramount Prince | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Conversation | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowers ‘n Berries | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cadfael | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victorious Tapit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worst Behaviour | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aha Moment | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Like Leigh | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Lily | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Wow | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crumlin Beast | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Trap | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just On Time | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stolen | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maple Leaf S.) – Maple Leaf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angelou | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charges Dropped | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Il Malocchio | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Munnyfor Ro | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreidel | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Transient (GB) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Glacier | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Causeway | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Creative Cairo | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Seeker | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bessarabian S.) – Bessarabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Loyalty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artie’s Princess | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Flash Drive | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lorena | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Mybudget | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Allworthy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Enough (GB) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hazelbrook | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Treat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Geneva | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mardene | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tara Luna | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intro | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shez a Sealy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Treason | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rees | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maralinga | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | A Game | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alpha Mia | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richies Noble Girl | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Ride | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Friends | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Moonshine | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spider Belle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marais | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pioneer’s Edge | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starlight Ridge | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twister Alert | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pemberley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.