Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 13, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Uncle Marty 4.00 1 2-1
3 2 Bourbon Chase 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Drake’s Passage 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 7 Neural Network 3.00 3 6-1
7 8 Wanna Winna 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 October Bliss 15.00 3.8 7-1
1A 6 Editor’s Choice 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 3 Brad’s Bet 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vallarand 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Trade Secret 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Tactical Range 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Funwhileitlasted 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 My First Love 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Voice of Spring 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Stormi Cat Lady 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Poncho Song 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Violent Vixen 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chasing Cara 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 To a T 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Diamond Collector 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fight On Lucy 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Speaks for Itself 0.60 6.8 13-1
7 7 Musical Romance (GB) 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Desert Dalliance 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fromanothamutha 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Major Spin 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kong Loves a Fight 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Hollywoodhellraisr 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sir John 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mo Rewards 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Two Down 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Hang Tight 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On the Hill 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Storm Shooter 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Bold Journey 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Tra Lad 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Taco Bean 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Cumberland Blues 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Basis Risk 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Disco Deano 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Winter Memories S.) – Winter Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Veronica Greene 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Myriskyaffair 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Tasweya 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Candy Light 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 She’s a Mia 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Eminent Victor 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Salimah (IRE) 4.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Parnac (FR) 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Hail To 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Missy Greer 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tizzy in the Sky 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jane Grey 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beguine 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Rossa Veloce 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Baba 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Midtown Rose 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ruvies in Time 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mommasgottarun 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Firing Carol 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Artie Schiller S.) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Everest (GB) 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Decorated Invader 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Pao Alto (FR) 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Shadow Sphinx 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Homer Screen (BRZ) 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Airman 30.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Somelikeithotbrown 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Double Crown 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Plot the Dots 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dynadrive 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Good Governance (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sifting Sands (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sinful Dancer 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Gimmebackmybullets 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Chief Engineer 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dancing With Rico 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Makart 5.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Heroneandonly 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Kimbo Dancer 30.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Maythisbetheone 10.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Eight and Sand 10.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Escape Mission 8.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Callaloo 15.00 10.9 21-1
5 5 Red Jet 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.