Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Coast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castleknock | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horace Mann | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Azteca | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mardukas | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of My Game | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shady Empire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Italiano | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Next Revolt | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Eagle | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coast of Roan | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Soul | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clayton Delaney | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawk of War | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Youteyourhonor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Rose | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laurel Canyon | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everlys Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Hard Knocks | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shared Future | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Diego | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Real Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cuban Crisis (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Topolina | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream a Dream | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Socially Smart | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Temple | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makara | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Denim in Gold | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Arrow | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilmore | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Gilmore | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Massimo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sully | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Lute | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Man | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat On | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Times | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Venkman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rvalentina | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lizy D | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weemissgrammy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For the Good Times | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sensible Move | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Witch Moon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Betty Grable S.) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taming the Tigress | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Dialed In | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fun to Dream | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Novel | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Empress | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Peer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Caramel | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Window Shopping | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Dance Between | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Girls | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolts Babe | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luminiferous | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Mary (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Three Strands | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | California Bling | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.