Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stormbeam | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nothins Free | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penance | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anginetti | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kenai Cool | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit a Homer Honey | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Rosie Say | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canoochee | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speightster’s Gold | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Two Step | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Towson | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abhaile | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie First | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Edward Madden | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Charlie | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blame Freddy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freddyness | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Lad | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lyfe Is Simple | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shouldhavebeengone | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ludo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saltin’ the Rim | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerusalem Gates | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mine Not Mine | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Is Ours | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Instant Chaos | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin Lane | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scoop Dawg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wheresthepassion | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bob in Our Midst | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Cut | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Porsupuesto | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peter G. Fox | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Gal Val | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Passionate Dream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna T | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Bawse’s Lady | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Honey | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Wild Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elevenmonthslater | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lastchancechancey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hip Hop Hooray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Culture | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Change | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margin of Air | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Formal Order | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spartak | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thrills and Chills | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Brother Neil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sensei Lawrence | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pelota | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Freebee | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Center Mid Maddie | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B B Bad | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singlino | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Thought | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey White | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Doda | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pardsy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Judge and Jury | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passage of Lines | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Float On | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jump Shot | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midlaner | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Profile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pederson’s Courage | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | West Fork | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wow Run | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frank N Ducky | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Outworknforakiss | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mizzen Man | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Refund Rigler | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Color Map | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pellegrini | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hope for Gold | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heated Battle | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Loved Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Span of Control | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.