Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gurkha Gold (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gee She’s Pretty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kimbell’s Strategy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Krinkles | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tantima | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Chocolate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sword of Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laridae | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Indian | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charm the Ladies | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fool’s Mirage | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s All Hearsay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Dollar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Shadow | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ira Champ | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch of Swords | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One Pretty Girl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Daddy Hack | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Motion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Li’l Grazen | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlene Strong | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Empress | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Classic | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Pleasure | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Millie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caged Bear | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Baker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cruisin Cue | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Irish Lad | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Musketeer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Spoatie | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop’s Biscuit | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy Special Cats | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prosecution | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Varsity | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Written Dance | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Propellant | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bougie Joe | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runnin’ Block | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stolich | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Curlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Italian Justice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Point | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Morena | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tyler’s Dream | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me Grace | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Level | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mizoney | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny Rose | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Missyintomischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lavender (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Time | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hailey’s Melody | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unburnt | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’sskysthelimit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Moon | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birdie Curdy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbin Tail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.