Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Motagally | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Subdued | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celerity | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What a Country | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make Noise | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Adventure | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Cairo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catchusifyoucan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Why Behave | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Home | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supertaleofhoudini | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zmuda | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suporb | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lauren | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance On Over | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost Basis | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Summer Splash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cost Basis | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boldish | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belfast Boy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That Khenny | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Express | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Bad Diva | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Nile | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xtrema | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiltingatwindmills | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waters of Merom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Penny | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Icon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slim Man | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arabian Prince | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Button Boy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Britain’s Kitten | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ignitis | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schmoozin | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Praise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldblooded | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame Day | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Irish | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Emma | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | English Charm | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All the Envy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grapes for Eloise | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Story Channel | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Baron | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cees Get Degrees | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mumayaz | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B D Valeski | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spend Benjamins | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pledgeofallegiance | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Cup | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flyin Bessie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Work of Fiction | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collected Glory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dazzling Blue | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moment to Shine | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dagmar | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corner Kick | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ju Ju Vip | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cecile | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Customer Driven | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Isle Beach | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casa de Goat | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pistol | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romance Novel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Traverse | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Braganza | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Accident | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winters Lion | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Recker Point | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter’s Drive | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Hyde | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Klimtomaniac | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Straight | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ranseur | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Upstart | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risky Choice | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Collection | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.