Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brite Outlook 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Double Edge Sword 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Moro Outlaw 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Halo Moon 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Moro Mafia 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Welcometoarkansas 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Always Logan 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Easy Eddie A 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 The Five B’s 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Marvins’ Warrior 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Triple Red Aces 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sonic City 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Coach Hudson 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Nasty Exaggerator 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Warriors Haven 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Vegas Guy 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Funny Actor 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 General Eisenhower 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Traelee 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Optimistic 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Oh Snap 4.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Counterfeit 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Autocratic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Where’s Aunt J 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Onecallthatsall 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Grace’s Soldier 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Beulah K 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mardi Gras Alarm 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Marina 3.50 7.3 14-1
5 5 Country Lady 5.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Troska 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Home Visit 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Blue Cheese 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Guitar Doctor 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Into Wishing 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Quarter Rat 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Charlies Ticket 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Touchdown Joe 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Fiesty Fist 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Drewmazing 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Donnie Boy 15.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Cpriority 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jack Bob and Larry 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Arch 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tricky Mom 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Sugar Star 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Moody Rafaela 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Slide 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Federal Court 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 La Danta 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Chaos Magic 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Not So Sweet 3.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Sweet Stormy Elle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smokey Harbor 8.00 1 2-1
5 6 Speedy Fellar 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 4 Hardcore Folklore 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 9 Meditate 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Wise Guy 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 8 Gold Note 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 5 Mias Moonbeam 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 10 Two Mikes N Doc G 12.00 6.1 12-1
1A 3 Fifteen Love Back 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Si Es Goya 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dixie Street 0 0-1
5 6 Dixie Street 5.00 1 2-1
7 8 Crusader Express 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Tripper John 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 I’ll Raise You 3.50 5 9-1
3 4 Mucho Marvin 10.00 5 10-1
8 9 Yes Bab 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Pepper Jack 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 10 Farewell Time 6.00 SCRATCH
4 5 Alterana 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 3 Pickens 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Icy Charlie 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Misty Day 2.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Track Smart 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Scarlett O’Hara 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 My Sister Annette 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Roll Baby 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lady Hopper 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiddly 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gilded Apple 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Flew by You 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Rachie Rach 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Saber Queen 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Enduring Peace 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 American Rebel 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Achancetowin 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.