Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Signal From Noise 0.50 1 2-1
2 2 Charging Lady 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wings Like Eagles 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Adam’s Angel 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Divine Wine 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Princess Sonya 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Voleuse 6.00 1 2-1
13 13 Royal Currency 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Laughter 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Shinfull 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cerretta 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Ard Macha 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Spooky Lady 5.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 True Martini 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Tara Dancer 8.00 8 15-1
8 8 Admire My Crown 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Family Band 10.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Ace Up Her Sleeve 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Redstripe Princess 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prairie Fire 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Adelaide Miss 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dat Dares Gold 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Big Tony’s Girl 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Big Al’s Gal 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mebs Web 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 That Is Key 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stella Mars 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 No Payne 15.00 3 6-1
12 12 Masabeeh 15.00 4 8-1
16 16 Spooky Road 4.50 4.1 8-1
15 15 New York Banker 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 I’m Buzzy 15.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Dancing Sophia 6.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 I’m Nervous Now 20.00 12.8 24-1
5 5 Summer At the Spa 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ocean Air 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Basilia 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lady Firefoot 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Maybe Later 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pegs A. K. Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Anador (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Its All Relevant 2.50 1 2-1
6 7 Double Shot 5.00 4.6 9-1
1A 3 Winning Drive 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 1 Runabout 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 8 Amount 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Optic Way 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 9 Warrior in Chief 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 6 Goldini 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Good Skate 8.00 SCRATCH
2B 10 Monarchs Glen (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gal in a Rush 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fontanafredda 10.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Madrilena (ARG) 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Miss Tapirado 8.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Tweaqued 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Train to Artemus 8.00 4.7 9-1
14 14 Chloe Rose 30.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Glitter Up 12.00 5 9-1
15 15 Alarm Clock 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Runaway Rockette 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Silky Blue 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Queen Sheba 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Laugh and Play 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Big Tentations 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Breeze Easy (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moam 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Free Chickens 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 My Delicious 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Rosemary Potatoes 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Infringement 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Idaka 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ice Cold Gold 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Handle the Truth 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Merger of Equals 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Freudian 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Foolish Ghost 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Quick Return 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Advanced Strategy 4.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Nueva York 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Brew Pub 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Unique Unions 3.00 8 15-1
5 5 Bronx Bomber 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Central Love 4.50 1 2-1
1A 13 M. C. Double R 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 West Star 4.00 7.9 15-1
3 2 Makar 3.50 8 15-1
11 11 Saratoga Banker 12.00 8.2 16-1
6 5 Playingwithmatches 15.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Lieutenant Sam 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 3 Liotta 20.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Brad’s Bet 30.00 11.5 22-1
7 7 Chasin’ You 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Destin Hoofman 10.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Hot Rod Lincoln 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Joyful Ghost 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.