Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Call Me Darlin 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Don’t Look Ethel 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Fire and Speight 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Grace’s Vision 15.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Crapaud 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Moro Smoke 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gypsy Soul 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Maywon 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Mo Dixie Diva 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Amelies Dreamer 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A. P. Style 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Roadside Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jack Bob and Larry 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Forty Three 2.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Iron in the Fire 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Monarch’s Mischief 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Justa Buster 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Sarah’s Vision 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bind Faith 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Kahaal 4.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Cpriority 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Janet’s Devil 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 War Trolley 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Acabella 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Soulology 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gray Dane 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tough Start 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Play Master 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Angola Vacation 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ted Striker 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Cottonclub Soldier 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Chan 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Kats Pick 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wild T Ranger 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Move It 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 B B Moody 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hot Artie 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rather Precocious 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Fluffpoint 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Metallic Silver 5.00 3.7 7-1
1A 9 Lookin Good So Far 2.00 4 7-1
2 1 Nosbor 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 3 Costanarmandaleg 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Extirpator 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Binding Agreement 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Saber Run 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Union Station 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Cucina 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pinch Assault 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Reluctant Warrior 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Entertainment 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Curlin 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Flashy Premo 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Half a Buck 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Big Russss 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Corn Soup 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Moro Flyboy 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Whiskey Gent 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cheatin Charlie 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Bodee Bodee 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Graham ‘s Cruiser 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 My Book 6.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 It’s a Bird 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hope for Change 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Guitar Slim 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Uncle Frank 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Holy Emperor 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Hightail Cowboy 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Wise Verdict 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Herzen 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Doctor Leo 3.50 6 11-1
5 5 Palatial Times 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 You Have No Idea 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Thisonesforlove 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bonanza Grade 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cozzolani 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Triple L’s Cutter 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 She’s My Louie V. 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Reaux Bina 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Suzy Doll’s Ready 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 She’smysmokeshow 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.