Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pidin 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 It’s True 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Stubborn Streak 1.60 1.8 3-1
8 8 I’m No Sleepy Joe 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 One More Ring 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ugotafriendinme 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Seattle Appeal 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Stormin Dave 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Getting Ahead 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Blueberry Doll 15.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Machina 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Chrome’s Angel 3.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Thunderheavyrain 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Meritamen 4.00 7 13-1
7 7 Ashlee’s Ring 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 D’oro Baby 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Ferda 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Canadiansweetheart 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silver Sign 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Quiet Maddelena 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Delilah’s Revenge 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Passion to Please 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Fast’n Sexy 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 More Gelato 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Sixth Anniversary 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silent Guroo 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Valley Girl 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Red Equinox 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Orbaline 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Onezy’s Dream 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Fedalia 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Crumlin Time 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Sararenda 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Handcarved 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Kid Forester 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Gozilla 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Sail At Sunrise 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Prince of Thieves 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Souper River 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Regal Intent 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silent Scarlet 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Princess Lavender 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Phil in Echo 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Foresters Princess 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Broken Proposal 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jolene Jolene 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Twisted Path 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Ya Beauty (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ya Mar 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Swirling Dancer 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Miss Brentwood 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Taquanyah 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Gamble’s Silver 2.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Swinging Mandy 2.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sterling Speed 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awildas Treasure 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wicked Miah 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mia’s Authority 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Cool Society 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Blu Sky Sunrise 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 San Nicola Star 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Reign by Rein 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bossalina 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Glovanna 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Ivy’s Star 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.