Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 18, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Please Focus 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Luka Grazie 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Montepulciano 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cathedral Light 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Herecomegeorgieboy 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Reckless Affair 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Druidic 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Clouseau 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bletchley Park 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Purified 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Krahenbuhl 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Thales 1.80 3.3 6-1
1 1 Warrior Road 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vasco 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Queen Molotov 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Her Perfect Vision 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Unwritten Code 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Smiling Molly 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 D’s Lovely Sophia 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Doris Mae 3.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Va Va Voom 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 La Aguililla 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Big Beauty 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Ensleys Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Redstwirlingdancer 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Shamrock 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Drizella 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Spanish Channel 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sweet Heidelberg 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Charlotte Harbor 1.80 5.3 10-1
6 6 Lucy L 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Playlist 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Pleasant Wave 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rylan Jayne 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Magazine 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Christina’s Candy 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dads Wish 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Anybody’s Choice 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Ancient Peace 4.00 SCRATCH
9 98 Thread Count 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Sweet Tessa 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Seek the Truth 12.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Shirley’s Bane 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Love My Jimmy 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Oil Can Knight 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Pure Speight 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Devoted to You 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tobacco Road 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 My Man Bags 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Perfecto Amor 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sharp Warning 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Teen Drama 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Myfavoritedaughter 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 One Silk Stocking 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fairy Tale Bliss 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Dolly May (IRE) 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Flame McGoon 3.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Taranta (IRE) 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Migration 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lottery Pick 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Western Cape 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Palagio 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Greenbow 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Princip 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Courtside 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 The Giants Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Burton Way 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.