Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 18, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ashley’s Girl 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 She’s Takin Over 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Galaxy Affair 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Saberfight 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pennie’s Magic 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Shotgun Annie 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Keep On Dreaming 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Allen’s Judy 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Lastprecious d’Oro 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In the Arch 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Tapizars Secret 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Jake the Band Man 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Carbon Stryker 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Ravens Reflection 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Calculate 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mylies Star 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hidden Expectation 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Gotteminabind 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Queen of the Moon 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Riptide Rose 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Field of Lights 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Cousin Vickie 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Bailey’s Charm 6.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Yes I’m a Lady 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kancancutie 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Miss S T Lee 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Saucy 1.40 4.7 9-1
7 7 Caught My Heart 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Piece of Me 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 California Cali 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Arms Apriority 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Star Fashion 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fuhr Meo 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 1 St Maria 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dave’s Ronda 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Cajun Aces 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 T R’s First 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 2 Katie’s C 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Time to Sleep 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Miss Miracle Girl 10.00 5.4 10-1
1A 12 Julio Choice 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tale of Tensas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 7 Tensas Virginia 1.80 1 2-1
5 4 Brinee 3.00 2 4-1
6 5 My Sweet Sophia 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Summertime Bandit 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 2 Leudeal 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Segoviana 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Stop the Friend 15.00 5.2 10-1
1A 8 Anotherinthefire 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Presumptive Closer 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cash Holiday 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Grand Jury 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hedaresthedevil 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Eurobeliever 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Classic Runner 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Street Commander 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prado’s Priority 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Prideofdixiecreed 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Matts Fire N Ice 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Stan’s Miracle Man 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Nate’s Way 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lode of Blarney 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Gone With the Finn 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Creative Letters 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ahimaaz 12.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Aztar 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lagoon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Isle Call U Later 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Classic Red Racer 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gildersleeve 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 G E H Giants Way 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Dressed in Louie 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Barney’s Passion 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fighting Soldier 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Berserko 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kingdom Star 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Genes Feather 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Not a Nyki 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Malibu Money 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.