Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C C’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Legend | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimtoglory | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adelaide Court | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Thoughts | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primordial Fear | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rookie Radar | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racing in the Rain | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucys Child | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Tribute | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hayroll | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Headline | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bodacious Biz | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Am Resilient | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Elvis | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Play | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Social Justice | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amber Light | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cure in Reach | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edinburgh Castle | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Dawn | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Sousi | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ignite the Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Enjoy the Music | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Analyzer | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Won’t | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hallie’s Hero | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Rum | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ben Lomond | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Momentus | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldmine Cat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Suigu Star | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Hero | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dot’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Teddy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maakwa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Steel | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hicksy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galvaston | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Four Aces High | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threefiftyseven | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Classy | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hardware Gap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | War Safe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Arkle | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s Fully Loaded | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Mountain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Agile Dancer | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie’s Flatter | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pink Gelato | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Star Scholar | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Got Soul | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Killary | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nothingtoseehere | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where Is Essa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Snookered | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ashbridges Bay S.) – Ashbridges Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strega | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasure’s Gold | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talk to Ya Later | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Morning | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Sky | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Actually | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Totally in Charge | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lake Ontario S.) – Lake Ontario S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hunt Master | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lac Macaza | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Screen | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant One | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Holiday | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dissectologist | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pick a Penny | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Creek | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lillz Hope | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stole the Ring | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brienne of Tarth | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Dangles | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Schiller | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Irene | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wanna Play | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best Bank Shot | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mimi’s Holiday | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Stormy Sophia | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Techie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.