Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doc Adams | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Doc Adams | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hand | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Worse Read Sanchez | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fore Flag | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J T’s Watch | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mischievous Path | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Beaudacious | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bochombo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | As Amatter of Fact | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joker Boy | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer of Jabez | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Micky From Wexford | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pioneering Papa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Countess Rosina (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That’s Amare | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pammy’s Ready | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelcents | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Easy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexington Humor | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xmas Surprise | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | So It Would Seem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowl of Cherries | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Focus First | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Rachel | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailing Along | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Arch | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rexford | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Go Go | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Sparrow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seal Team (GB) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tasterfor the King | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zihuatanejo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldenspa | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Mo | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm the Night | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Desi Arnaz S.) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Lottie | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parody | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Touch | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huntingcoco | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justique | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokem for You | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Classy Dill | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quintecents | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One More Bid | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Rinca | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Time Mark | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Prophet | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tokamak | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Sheldon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Cary Grant S.) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | The Chosen Vron | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big City Lights | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | None Above the Law | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coalinga Road | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Surfing Star | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Finneus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emerald Lake | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gillian Elizabeth | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Fortuna | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Fairytale | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Founder’s Day | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Batyah | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Almost a Factor | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Over Attracted | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Clementine (GB) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dramatizer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Jae | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gimme Mo Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.